We present three forecast scenarios we obtained for the development of the epidemic in Poland after 29.03.2021.

Figure 1. Short-term forecast for the development of the epidemics in Poland after 29.03.2021 assuming high efficiency of countermeasures.
Figure 2. Short-term forecast for the development of the epidemics in Poland after 29.03.2021 assuming medium efficiency of countermeasures.
Figure 3. Short-term forecast for the development of the epidemics in Poland after 29.03.2021 assuming low efficiency of countermeasures.

Archival Forecasts

Forecasts for the development of the epidemic in Poland after 15.03.2021

Forecasts for the development of the epidemic in Poland after 15.03.2021 not taken into consideration recent decision to extend restrictions to the whole of Poland from March 20 to April 9.

2021-03-17

Forecasts for the development of the epidemic in Poland after 17.11.2020

We compare three variants of the development of the epidemic in Poland depending on the level of contact reduction

2020-11-17

Short-term forecasts for the development of the epidemic in Poland after 26/10/2020

Compared to the analysis carried out two weeks ago, we observe a shift in the state of the epidemic deeper into the growth phase, mainly due to a decrease in contact reduction.

2020-10-26

Short-term forecasts for the development of the epidemic in Poland after September 10, 2020

Since September 4, 2020 Poland reports mostly symptomatic cases, which impacted daily number of reported cases.

2020-09-10

Short-term forecasts for the development of the epidemic in Poland after August 30, 2020

Until September 29, 2020, the 7-day average of daily new cases in Poland may increase to around 870 from the current level of around 730.

2020-08-30

Short-term forecasts for the development of the epidemic in Poland after August 23, 2020

Until September 22, 2020, the 7-day average of daily new cases in Poland may increase to around 800 from the current level of 725.

2020-08-23