Forecasts for the development of the epidemic in Poland after 03.01.2022
Short-term Forecasts for the development of the epidemic in Poland.
This time we prepared three scenarios.
Scenario A: Assumptions: 1) Dec 10th: 100 infected with Omicron in Poland. 2) Testing capacity limited at around 300k / day
Scenario B: Assumptions: 1) Dec 13th: 100 infected with Omicron in Poland. 2) Testing capacity limited at around 300k / day
Scenario C: Assumptions: 1) Dec 17th: 100 infected with Omicron in Poland. 2) Testing capacity limited at around 300k / day
Our assumption: Critical progression and death probability for the omicron variant is 6 times less than critical progression and death probability for the delta variant.